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Red123
132564.4
762319.8
888430.5
Blue59
699216.9
705825.8
765922.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11441010015020012359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.41.7
53.755.3
Auto14.6
Teleop40.8
End8.2
red by 38.6
25.80.4
16.817.2
Auto8.3
Teleop10.6
End6.9
Second
30.51.7
28.630.3
Auto9.0
Teleop11.9
End9.7
red by 7.9
7659
#22
22.60.4
19.720.1
Auto6.3
Teleop9.8
End6.6
Third
7623
#30
19.81.7
15.917.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End5.2
red by 2.8
6992
#28
16.90.4
11.511.9
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned19%Activation oddsMissed