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Red101
131042.6
876423.3
613521.7
Blue86
136029.0
705825.8
876516.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8955020408010012014010186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.61.1
38.439.5
Auto15.5
Teleop18.7
End8.3
red by 13.6
1360
#15
29.01.6
23.625.2
Auto6.5
Teleop12.6
End9.9
Second
8764
#25
23.31.1
21.822.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.5
End5.3
blue by 2.5
25.81.6
17.218.8
Auto8.3
Teleop10.6
End6.9
Third
6135
#32
21.71.1
19.220.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.0
End7.1
red by 5.0
8765
#23
16.61.6
15.517.1
Auto7.1
Teleop6.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsEarned