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Red59
401512.5
926210.0
434333.9
Blue100
220054.1
906220.5
702222.8
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57102020408012014016059100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#11
33.91.0
34.033.0
Auto10.4
Teleop17.3
End6.1
blue by 20.2
54.10.7
52.753.4
Auto15.4
Teleop31.2
End7.3
Second
4015
#33
12.51.7
17.916.2
Auto0.8
Teleop7.6
End4.2
blue by 10.3
7022
#16
22.80.7
18.519.2
Auto8.4
Teleop8.8
End5.7
Third
9262
#36
10.01.7
7.35.6
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End4.7
blue by 10.6
9062
#26
20.50.7
18.619.2
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed32%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
12%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsEarned