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Red81
260948.5
499224.8
613521.7
Blue130
124153.2
772223.5
238625.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971095015020081130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.8
49.048.2
Auto14.5
Teleop26.4
End7.6
blue by 4.7
53.20.0
53.853.7
Auto14.4
Teleop30.6
End8.2
Second
4992
#21
24.80.8
22.421.6
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End5.8
blue by 0.5
2386
#19
25.40.0
23.823.8
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End4.0
Third
6135
#32
21.70.8
21.120.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.0
End7.1
blue by 1.8
7722
#34
23.50.0
23.123.0
Auto8.4
Teleop7.5
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned