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Red113
772223.5
132564.4
133422.9
Blue90
434333.9
765922.6
124153.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091198010014016018011390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.40.3
60.260.4
Auto14.6
Teleop40.8
End8.2
red by 11.2
53.21.7
53.752.1
Auto14.4
Teleop30.6
End8.2
Second
7722
#34
23.50.3
23.023.3
Auto8.4
Teleop7.5
End7.7
blue by 10.3
4343
#11
33.91.7
33.431.8
Auto10.4
Teleop17.3
End6.1
Third
1334
#20
22.90.3
20.520.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End7.3
red by 0.3
7659
#22
22.61.7
22.921.3
Auto6.3
Teleop9.8
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsMissed68%Activation oddsEarned