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Red131
220054.1
888430.5
238625.4
Blue60
697517.4
613521.7
720027.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1235810015013160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.11.2
53.454.6
Auto15.4
Teleop31.2
End7.3
red by 26.2
7200
#17
27.90.2
26.025.8
Auto7.8
Teleop13.3
End6.8
Second
30.51.2
30.331.5
Auto9.0
Teleop11.9
End9.7
red by 8.9
6135
#32
21.70.2
20.320.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.0
End7.1
Third
2386
#19
25.41.2
23.825.0
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End4.0
red by 8.0
6975
#29
17.40.2
16.015.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsEarned