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Red102
124153.2
686521.3
906220.5
Blue109
434333.9
136029.0
133422.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9784204060120140160102109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.20.8
52.152.9
Auto14.4
Teleop30.6
End8.2
red by 19.4
4343
#11
33.91.9
31.833.7
Auto10.4
Teleop17.3
End6.1
Second
6865
#18
21.30.8
19.420.2
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End5.4
blue by 7.7
1360
#15
29.01.9
28.029.9
Auto6.5
Teleop12.6
End9.9
Third
9062
#26
20.50.8
18.219.0
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End6.3
blue by 2.4
1334
#20
22.91.9
20.822.7
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsMissed