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Red109
705825.8
220054.1
686521.3
Blue145
702222.8
499224.8
132564.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051156080140160109145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.10.3
55.155.4
Auto15.4
Teleop31.2
End7.3
blue by 10.4
64.41.6
61.262.8
Auto14.6
Teleop40.8
End8.2
Second
25.80.3
24.324.6
Auto8.3
Teleop10.6
End6.9
red by 1.0
4992
#21
24.81.6
23.625.2
Auto8.8
Teleop10.0
End5.8
Third
6865
#18
21.30.3
20.220.5
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End5.4
blue by 1.6
7022
#16
22.81.6
21.723.2
Auto8.4
Teleop8.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned25%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsMissed61%Activation oddsEarned