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Red128
613521.7
699216.9
205681.9
Blue101
720027.9
906220.5
131042.6
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1309150100150200128101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.90.7
79.980.6
Auto19.8
Teleop51.9
End9.2
red by 39.3
42.60.7
42.343.0
Auto15.5
Teleop18.7
End8.3
Second
6135
#32
21.70.7
21.021.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.0
End7.1
blue by 6.2
7200
#17
27.90.7
28.028.7
Auto7.8
Teleop13.3
End6.8
Third
6992
#28
16.90.7
16.216.9
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End5.5
blue by 3.6
9062
#26
20.50.7
19.820.5
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned