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Red145
772223.5
220054.1
540652.9
Blue82
434333.9
18822.2
238625.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1467505010020014582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.10.0
53.253.3
Auto15.4
Teleop31.2
End7.3
red by 20.2
4343
#11
33.90.0
33.133.0
Auto10.4
Teleop17.3
End6.1
Second
52.90.0
52.152.1
Auto14.8
Teleop30.4
End7.7
red by 27.5
2386
#19
25.40.0
24.624.5
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End4.0
Third
7722
#34
23.50.0
22.722.7
Auto8.4
Teleop7.5
End7.7
red by 1.4
188
#35
22.20.0
21.421.3
Auto9.7
Teleop7.4
End5.1