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Red117
403956.6
368362.3
685416.0
Blue127
490748.7
132547.8
587026.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14512580100160180200220117127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.30.4
62.462.1
Auto17.0
Teleop37.0
End8.1
red by 13.6
48.70.2
47.747.9
Auto11.9
Teleop29.0
End7.8
Second
56.60.4
56.756.4
Auto15.4
Teleop32.9
End8.0
red by 8.8
47.80.2
46.947.0
Auto10.9
Teleop28.5
End8.4
Third
6854
#28
16.00.4
16.316.0
Auto7.0
Teleop2.0
End6.7
blue by 10.1
5870
#18
26.10.2
25.125.3
Auto8.4
Teleop8.6
End9.0