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Red136
403956.6
368362.3
28816.1
Blue143
490748.7
132547.8
587026.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1461276080100160180200220136143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.30.1
62.462.3
Auto17.0
Teleop37.0
End8.1
red by 13.6
48.70.5
48.248.7
Auto11.9
Teleop29.0
End7.8
Second
56.60.1
56.756.6
Auto15.4
Teleop32.9
End8.0
red by 8.8
47.80.5
47.347.8
Auto10.9
Teleop28.5
End8.4
Third
288
#16
16.10.1
16.216.1
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End5.2
blue by 10.0
5870
#18
26.10.5
25.626.1
Auto8.4
Teleop8.6
End9.0