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Red130
490748.7
28816.1
403956.6
Blue119
373933.6
368362.3
616217.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10579050150130119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.62.3
51.553.8
Auto15.4
Teleop32.9
End8.0
blue by 5.7
62.34.6
33.738.3
Auto17.0
Teleop37.0
End8.1
Second
48.73.8
31.135.0
Auto11.9
Teleop29.0
End7.8
red by 15.1
3739
#12
33.62.7
25.027.7
Auto10.3
Teleop16.3
End7.0
Third
288
#16
16.12.3
12.815.1
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End5.2
blue by 1.3
6162
#32
17.54.6
19.123.7
Auto5.9
Teleop8.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned