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Red61
373933.6
499217.1
375617.5
Blue122
747517.4
403956.6
21619.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6388020408010012014016061122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#12
33.60.1
27.727.7
Auto10.3
Teleop16.3
End7.0
blue by 23.0
56.61.7
53.855.5
Auto15.4
Teleop32.9
End8.0
Second
3756
#15
17.50.1
18.218.1
Auto2.7
Teleop12.3
End2.5
blue by 2.2
216
#14
19.81.7
12.514.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End2.9
Third
4992
#24
17.10.1
16.116.0
Auto6.2
Teleop6.4
End4.5
blue by 0.3
7475
#30
17.42.9
12.915.8
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsEarned