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Red124
607015.5
490748.7
546049.2
Blue122
403956.6
878912.9
491738.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011086080120140160124122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#10
49.21.6
43.945.4
Auto13.8
Teleop26.7
End8.6
blue by 7.4
56.61.1
55.556.6
Auto15.4
Teleop32.9
End8.0
Second
48.72.6
37.940.5
Auto11.9
Teleop29.0
End7.8
red by 9.9
4917
#11
38.81.9
29.631.5
Auto12.6
Teleop19.2
End7.0
Third
6070
#20
15.52.6
13.716.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End2.9
red by 2.7
8789
#33
12.91.9
15.016.9
Auto2.3
Teleop7.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned