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Red109
888426.7
368362.3
911314.1
Blue112
403956.6
78127.8
685416.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100100708090110120130140109112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.31.5
58.159.7
Auto17.0
Teleop37.0
End8.1
red by 5.7
56.61.2
55.656.8
Auto15.4
Teleop32.9
End8.0
Second
8884
#23
26.71.5
23.424.9
Auto6.6
Teleop11.4
End8.7
blue by 1.1
781
#22
27.81.2
21.923.1
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End7.2
Third
9113
#27
14.11.0
12.813.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End7.4
blue by 1.9
6854
#28
16.01.9
16.518.4
Auto7.0
Teleop2.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned