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Red104
201339.4
78127.8
878912.9
Blue113
270823.8
373933.6
502437.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions699620406080120140160104113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#13
39.42.4
33.736.1
Auto11.9
Teleop19.0
End8.5
red by 1.9
37.61.9
31.733.6
Auto12.9
Teleop16.3
End8.3
Second
781
#22
27.82.4
23.125.5
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End7.2
blue by 5.8
3739
#12
33.61.4
30.532.0
Auto10.3
Teleop16.3
End7.0
Third
8789
#33
12.93.2
11.214.4
Auto2.3
Teleop7.2
End3.4
blue by 11.0
2708
#19
23.82.1
24.126.2
Auto9.7
Teleop9.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
29%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned