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Red97
78127.8
587026.1
747517.4
Blue100
21619.8
926318.7
124146.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648720408010012014097100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#22
27.82.0
24.926.9
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End7.2
blue by 18.5
46.31.4
43.244.6
Auto11.4
Teleop25.5
End9.4
Second
5870
#18
26.12.4
23.425.8
Auto8.4
Teleop8.6
End9.0
red by 6.3
216
#14
19.81.4
18.119.6
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End2.9
Third
7475
#30
17.42.4
14.416.7
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End5.9
blue by 1.3
9263
#26
18.71.8
17.018.7
Auto8.2
Teleop4.6
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsEarned