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Red100
888426.7
270823.8
373933.6
Blue99
128539.0
607015.5
540641.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8510520406012014016018010099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#12
33.60.4
32.933.3
Auto10.3
Teleop16.3
End7.0
blue by 7.5
41.10.0
41.241.1
Auto10.7
Teleop23.3
End7.2
Second
8884
#23
26.70.4
26.026.4
Auto6.6
Teleop11.4
End8.7
blue by 12.3
39.00.0
39.039.0
Auto11.7
Teleop20.7
End6.6
Third
2708
#19
23.80.4
23.123.5
Auto9.7
Teleop9.9
End4.2
red by 8.3
6070
#20
15.50.0
15.615.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.1
End2.9