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Red113
447632.3
540933.6
637819.7
Blue103
651419.3
205670.8
124610.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions809360100120140160113103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.64.0
32.936.9
Auto9.3
Teleop16.4
End7.9
blue by 37.2
70.81.4
58.159.5
Auto20.5
Teleop41.0
End9.3
Second
32.34.0
30.334.3
Auto10.3
Teleop12.9
End9.1
red by 13.0
6514
#19
19.31.4
16.618.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End7.5
Third
6378
#11
19.74.0
13.917.9
Auto2.9
Teleop10.2
End6.6
red by 9.1
1246
#33
10.61.4
10.812.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned