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Red52
697515.3
637819.7
911311.2
Blue130
447632.3
494632.3
130538.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3510505015052130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6378
#11
19.71.1
17.919.0
Auto2.9
Teleop10.2
End6.6
blue by 19.0
38.74.5
28.733.2
Auto11.6
Teleop19.7
End7.4
Second
6975
#27
15.31.1
10.711.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.4
End7.0
blue by 17.0
4946
#14
32.34.5
26.330.8
Auto8.6
Teleop20.2
End3.6
Third
9113
#31
11.21.1
13.514.6
Auto2.7
Teleop1.2
End7.3
blue by 21.0
32.34.5
34.338.8
Auto10.3
Teleop12.9
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
21%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsEarned