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Red57
540933.6
686610.0
747614.5
Blue60
790215.9
270223.6
503622.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5656304050607080905760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.0
36.936.9
Auto9.3
Teleop16.4
End7.9
red by 10.1
23.60.8
21.121.9
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End5.0
Second
7476
#25
14.50.0
10.410.4
Auto1.0
Teleop8.1
End5.4
blue by 8.4
5036
#17
22.90.8
17.418.2
Auto6.5
Teleop9.2
End7.3
Third
6866
#24
10.00.0
4.64.6
Auto2.2
Teleop5.1
End2.7
blue by 6.0
7902
#28
15.90.8
14.315.1
Auto1.0
Teleop8.6
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
25%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsMissed