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Red52
238624.1
790215.9
494632.3
Blue159
205670.8
447632.3
220046.1
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6311205010015052159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4946
#14
32.31.5
25.423.9
Auto8.6
Teleop20.2
End3.6
blue by 38.5
70.85.6
35.841.3
Auto20.5
Teleop41.0
End9.3
Second
2386
#15
24.11.5
21.520.0
Auto11.7
Teleop6.8
End5.6
blue by 22.0
46.15.6
33.839.3
Auto13.2
Teleop24.9
End7.9
Third
7902
#28
15.91.5
18.717.2
Auto1.0
Teleop8.6
End6.4
blue by 16.3
32.35.6
29.334.9
Auto10.3
Teleop12.9
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned