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Red37
270223.6
637819.7
124610.6
Blue119
130538.7
614016.8
220046.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5510420408012014016037119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.62.1
23.621.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End5.0
blue by 22.5
46.12.3
42.044.3
Auto13.2
Teleop24.9
End7.9
Second
6378
#11
19.72.1
22.019.9
Auto2.9
Teleop10.2
End6.6
blue by 19.0
38.72.3
34.937.1
Auto11.6
Teleop19.7
End7.4
Third
1246
#33
10.62.1
12.09.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End2.5
blue by 6.2
6140
#16
16.82.3
14.216.5
Auto1.2
Teleop9.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed71%Activation oddsEarned