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Red117
61040.7
494632.3
698716.8
Blue54
834914.2
503622.9
614016.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions985215011754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#4
40.70.5
39.540.0
Auto12.0
Teleop20.4
End8.3
red by 17.8
5036
#17
22.90.1
23.122.9
Auto6.5
Teleop9.2
End7.3
Second
4946
#14
32.30.5
31.131.6
Auto8.6
Teleop20.2
End3.6
red by 15.5
6140
#16
16.80.1
16.916.8
Auto1.2
Teleop9.0
End6.5
Third
6987
#23
16.80.5
15.616.0
Auto5.9
Teleop5.5
End5.3
red by 2.6
8349
#13
14.20.1
14.414.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End6.1