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Red101
61040.7
494632.3
698716.8
Blue50
270223.6
760318.0
748030.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions967605015020010150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#4
40.70.3
40.040.3
Auto12.0
Teleop20.4
End8.3
red by 10.1
7480
#10
30.60.5
31.130.6
Auto10.8
Teleop11.3
End8.5
Second
4946
#14
32.30.3
31.631.9
Auto8.6
Teleop20.2
End3.6
red by 8.7
23.60.5
24.123.6
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End5.0
Third
6987
#23
16.80.3
16.016.3
Auto5.9
Teleop5.5
End5.3
blue by 1.2
7603
#26
18.00.5
18.518.0
Auto5.5
Teleop8.6
End3.9