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Red129
651419.3
130538.7
755834.0
Blue121
698716.8
494632.3
61040.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988920406080120140160180129121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.70.6
38.439.1
Auto11.6
Teleop19.7
End7.4
blue by 2.0
610
#4
40.70.6
38.939.5
Auto12.0
Teleop20.4
End8.3
Second
34.00.6
33.734.3
Auto10.1
Teleop17.9
End5.9
red by 1.7
4946
#14
32.30.6
30.531.1
Auto8.6
Teleop20.2
End3.6
Third
6514
#19
19.30.6
19.019.6
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End7.5
red by 2.5
6987
#23
16.80.6
15.015.6
Auto5.9
Teleop5.5
End5.3