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Red123
201346.4
61049.8
77110.2
Blue134
130541.3
415245.0
686420.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11311290100120130140123134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#1
49.80.3
49.649.8
Auto16.2
Teleop25.8
End7.8
red by 4.8
45.00.5
44.545.0
Auto13.8
Teleop22.9
End8.3
Second
46.40.3
46.246.4
Auto13.2
Teleop24.6
End8.6
red by 5.1
41.30.5
40.841.3
Auto14.9
Teleop18.9
End7.5
Third
771
#23
10.20.3
9.910.2
Auto4.3
Teleop1.6
End4.2
blue by 10.5
6864
#20
20.70.5
20.220.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.5
End6.4