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Red28
567218.6
912710.5
686519.8
Blue61
611017.3
86529.9
651422.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496302040801001202861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6865
#18
19.82.7
17.815.1
Auto7.0
Teleop7.7
End5.0
blue by 10.2
865
#10
29.90.2
19.519.7
Auto8.0
Teleop14.1
End7.9
Second
5672
#21
18.61.6
15.113.5
Auto6.7
Teleop6.6
End5.3
blue by 3.8
6514
#13
22.40.2
19.319.5
Auto5.2
Teleop9.8
End7.4
Third
9127
#26
10.51.6
14.713.0
Auto3.6
Teleop3.6
End3.3
blue by 6.8
6110
#28
17.30.4
18.919.3
Auto6.3
Teleop4.4
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed32%Activation oddsMissed