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Red31
686519.8
873112.5
686420.7
Blue118
86529.9
61049.8
406941.3
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3211205010015031118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6864
#20
20.70.6
11.911.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.5
End6.4
blue by 29.1
610
#1
49.81.5
41.242.7
Auto16.2
Teleop25.8
End7.8
Second
6865
#18
19.81.0
16.315.3
Auto7.0
Teleop7.7
End5.0
blue by 21.5
41.31.5
33.635.1
Auto12.3
Teleop21.3
End7.7
Third
8731
#27
12.50.6
11.811.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End4.1
blue by 17.4
865
#10
29.91.5
20.221.7
Auto8.0
Teleop14.1
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed58%Activation oddsEarned