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Red128
61049.8
583421.2
201346.4
Blue18
587023.6
686420.7
77110.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1114105010015012818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#1
49.80.1
40.740.6
Auto16.2
Teleop25.8
End7.8
red by 26.2
5870
#11
23.62.0
26.124.1
Auto9.8
Teleop6.4
End7.4
Second
46.40.1
39.439.4
Auto13.2
Teleop24.6
End8.6
red by 25.7
6864
#20
20.72.0
15.413.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.5
End6.4
Third
5834
#16
21.20.1
14.914.9
Auto6.7
Teleop8.6
End5.9
red by 11.1
771
#23
10.22.0
6.04.1
Auto4.3
Teleop1.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsMissed30%Activation oddsMissed