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Red75
137424.8
270830.1
698718.1
Blue73
912710.5
406941.3
356016.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657520401001207573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.10.8
24.325.2
Auto10.1
Teleop13.1
End6.9
blue by 11.2
41.30.3
37.737.9
Auto12.3
Teleop21.3
End7.7
Second
24.81.3
19.320.6
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End7.9
red by 8.3
3560
#25
16.50.4
18.318.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End7.2
Third
6987
#19
18.10.8
18.919.7
Auto6.8
Teleop5.1
End6.2
red by 7.7
9127
#26
10.50.3
13.213.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsEarned