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Red76
86529.9
685913.0
872926.3
Blue126
415245.0
137424.8
61049.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6612020408010014016018076126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#10
29.90.2
29.028.8
Auto8.0
Teleop14.1
End7.9
blue by 19.9
610
#1
49.81.0
45.946.9
Auto16.2
Teleop25.8
End7.8
Second
26.30.2
24.524.3
Auto8.5
Teleop11.2
End6.6
blue by 18.7
45.01.0
39.440.4
Auto13.8
Teleop22.9
End8.3
Third
13.00.2
15.415.2
Auto5.7
Teleop3.2
End4.2
blue by 11.8
24.81.5
20.622.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
48%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned