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Red76
124615.8
137424.8
872926.3
Blue72
686519.8
775724.6
356016.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6565556070757672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.31.0
24.125.1
Auto8.5
Teleop11.2
End6.6
red by 1.7
7757
#15
24.60.4
23.423.8
Auto7.3
Teleop7.9
End9.4
Second
24.81.2
21.722.9
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End7.9
red by 5.1
6865
#18
19.80.5
20.420.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.7
End5.0
Third
1246
#22
15.81.0
15.216.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.1
End3.3
blue by 0.8
3560
#25
16.50.5
16.917.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsEarned