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Red65
130541.3
698718.1
912710.5
Blue54
775724.6
137424.8
747620.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765402040601001201406554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.6
38.738.2
Auto14.9
Teleop18.9
End7.5
red by 16.4
24.80.5
18.317.9
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End7.9
Second
6987
#19
18.10.6
16.816.2
Auto6.8
Teleop5.1
End6.2
blue by 6.5
7757
#15
24.60.3
20.620.3
Auto7.3
Teleop7.9
End9.4
Third
9127
#26
10.50.6
13.012.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.6
End3.3
blue by 9.7
7476
#24
20.10.3
14.414.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsMissed