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Red87
270830.1
130541.3
686519.8
Blue31
686420.7
698718.1
611017.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87470204060801001201408731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.7
38.238.9
Auto14.9
Teleop18.9
End7.5
red by 20.6
6864
#20
20.71.5
13.511.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.5
End6.4
Second
30.10.7
23.023.8
Auto10.1
Teleop13.1
End6.9
red by 12.0
6987
#19
18.11.5
16.214.7
Auto6.8
Teleop5.1
End6.2
Third
6865
#18
19.81.2
15.116.3
Auto7.0
Teleop7.7
End5.0
red by 2.5
6110
#28
17.32.6
19.316.7
Auto6.3
Teleop4.4
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsMissed