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Red58
775724.6
354323.6
686519.8
Blue87
872926.3
583421.2
698718.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74670501001502005887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7757
#15
24.60.2
24.824.6
Auto7.3
Teleop7.9
End9.4
blue by 1.7
26.30.5
25.626.1
Auto8.5
Teleop11.2
End6.6
Second
3543
#14
23.60.2
23.823.6
Auto6.6
Teleop10.7
End6.4
red by 2.4
5834
#16
21.20.5
20.521.0
Auto6.7
Teleop8.6
End5.9
Third
6865
#18
19.80.2
20.019.8
Auto7.0
Teleop7.7
End5.0
red by 1.7
6987
#19
18.10.5
17.417.9
Auto6.8
Teleop5.1
End6.2