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Red155
490762.4
755851.0
765919.7
Blue125
132550.9
430823.5
124149.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421306080100120160180200155125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.40.4
62.062.4
Auto15.9
Teleop36.3
End9.0
red by 11.5
50.90.1
51.050.9
Auto13.7
Teleop29.1
End7.0
Second
51.00.4
50.651.0
Auto13.4
Teleop29.3
End8.4
red by 1.9
49.10.1
49.249.1
Auto11.5
Teleop29.3
End7.6
Third
7659
#24
19.70.4
19.319.7
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End5.9
blue by 3.8
4308
#16
23.50.1
23.623.5
Auto9.2
Teleop9.9
End4.8