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Red53
136031.7
765919.7
285222.3
Blue146
755851.0
490762.4
430823.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88140020030040050053146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#11
31.72.4
31.228.9
Auto8.8
Teleop14.9
End8.0
blue by 30.7
62.41.4
60.762.1
Auto15.9
Teleop36.3
End9.0
Second
2852
#23
22.32.4
30.828.4
Auto10.3
Teleop7.4
End4.8
blue by 28.7
51.01.4
40.341.7
Auto13.4
Teleop29.3
End8.4
Third
7659
#24
19.72.4
26.323.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End5.9
blue by 3.8
4308
#16
23.51.4
24.025.4
Auto9.2
Teleop9.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsMissed87%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
61%Activation oddsMissed86%Activation oddsEarned