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Red135
430823.5
906227.0
434330.9
Blue71
613521.1
78135.7
583423.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7897020406012014016013571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#18
30.92.3
29.732.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.4
End5.7
blue by 4.7
781
#10
35.72.2
39.237.1
Auto9.5
Teleop19.0
End7.1
Second
27.02.3
23.125.4
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End6.4
red by 3.4
5834
#27
23.62.2
25.723.5
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End4.5
Third
4308
#16
23.52.3
22.825.1
Auto9.2
Teleop9.9
End4.8
red by 2.3
6135
#13
21.12.2
23.621.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.6
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsMissed