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Red106
415242.6
132550.9
613521.1
Blue101
752019.2
755851.0
260942.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11812080100140160106101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.90.4
49.348.9
Auto13.7
Teleop29.1
End7.0
blue by 0.2
51.01.0
48.347.3
Auto13.4
Teleop29.3
End8.4
Second
42.60.4
39.639.3
Auto11.6
Teleop22.9
End8.2
red by 0.3
2609
#15
42.31.0
42.041.0
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End7.3
Third
6135
#13
21.10.4
22.722.3
Auto5.3
Teleop8.6
End7.3
red by 2.0
7520
#12
19.21.0
21.120.1
Auto6.3
Teleop5.2
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsEarned67%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsMissed