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Red98
583423.6
415242.6
434330.9
Blue137
490762.4
571912.4
86522.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1019740608012014016098137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.3
39.339.6
Auto11.6
Teleop22.9
End8.2
blue by 19.8
62.42.3
61.663.9
Auto15.9
Teleop36.3
End9.0
Second
4343
#18
30.90.3
31.331.6
Auto7.7
Teleop17.4
End5.7
red by 8.1
865
#14
22.82.3
20.422.7
Auto7.8
Teleop8.1
End7.1
Third
5834
#27
23.60.3
22.923.2
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End4.5
red by 11.2
5719
#19
12.42.3
10.012.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.4
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsMissed33%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
22%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned