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Red149
906227.0
415242.6
755851.0
Blue130
434330.9
270234.9
748033.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221056080140160180149130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.02.1
47.649.7
Auto13.4
Teleop29.3
End8.4
red by 16.1
2702
#17
34.91.0
34.735.7
Auto11.7
Teleop18.4
End4.6
Second
42.62.1
39.641.7
Auto11.6
Teleop22.9
End8.2
red by 9.5
7480
#22
33.11.0
33.834.8
Auto12.4
Teleop13.9
End6.9
Third
27.02.1
25.527.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End6.4
blue by 3.9
4343
#18
30.91.0
31.632.6
Auto7.7
Teleop17.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsEarned32%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsEarned