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Red98
57199.8
205653.7
128534.2
Blue103
132548.5
491720.8
86526.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144137608010012016018020098103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#10
53.72.6
73.170.5
Auto12.6
Teleop28.5
End8.8
red by 5.1
1325
#13
48.51.7
64.162.4
Auto13.5
Teleop25.0
End8.0
Second
1285
#21
34.22.6
40.838.2
Auto12.3
Teleop16.4
End5.8
red by 8.1
865
#14
26.11.7
31.429.6
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End7.1
Third
5719
#25
9.82.6
23.020.4
Auto4.9
Teleop1.3
End4.4
blue by 11.0
4917
#26
20.81.7
37.035.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsMissed89%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned