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Red91
495118.7
494639.6
131048.3
Blue120
86526.1
57199.8
353848.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1449905020025091120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.32.5
52.249.7
Auto15.5
Teleop23.2
End8.6
red by 0.2
3538
#11
48.11.2
52.653.8
Auto11.5
Teleop31.4
End5.4
Second
4946
#24
39.62.5
56.554.0
Auto11.2
Teleop21.9
End5.1
red by 13.4
865
#14
26.11.2
29.630.8
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End7.1
Third
4951
#23
18.72.5
20.217.7
Auto6.5
Teleop6.3
End6.4
red by 8.9
5719
#25
9.81.2
20.421.6
Auto4.9
Teleop1.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsMissed32%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned