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Red145
205653.7
301547.8
111451.6
Blue145
136031.2
467863.4
909843.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188154050100250300350145145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#10
53.7
Auto12.6
Teleop28.5
End8.8
blue by 9.8
63.4
Auto17.2
Teleop37.3
End5.8
Second
1114
#12
51.6
Auto10.4
Teleop31.9
End7.4
red by 8.5
43.1
Auto11.2
Teleop25.6
End7.2
Third
3015
#20
47.8
Auto14.7
Teleop27.1
End5.9
red by 16.6
1360
#16
31.2
Auto8.7
Teleop14.9
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
100%Sustainability oddsEarned88%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsMissed84%Activation oddsEarned