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Red141
447646.1
124141.8
136031.2
Blue123
755840.3
316132.1
57199.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1521336080100120160180200220141123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.10.3
55.555.2
Auto12.3
Teleop24.2
End8.2
red by 5.7
40.30.5
62.862.3
Auto11.2
Teleop23.1
End5.6
Second
41.80.3
53.553.2
Auto10.4
Teleop25.5
End4.4
red by 9.7
3161
#17
32.10.5
43.142.5
Auto8.3
Teleop19.6
End4.7
Third
1360
#16
31.20.3
35.134.8
Auto8.7
Teleop14.9
End7.7
red by 21.5
5719
#25
9.80.5
20.219.7
Auto4.9
Teleop1.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsEarned60%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsEarned