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Red194
4845.0
909843.1
368346.8
Blue114
301547.8
86526.1
128534.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168129050100150200250194114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.82.5
55.257.7
Auto9.1
Teleop30.5
End7.0
blue by 1.1
3015
#20
47.81.1
52.151.0
Auto14.7
Teleop27.1
End5.9
Second
48
#2
45.02.5
51.754.2
Auto10.9
Teleop25.7
End7.5
red by 10.8
1285
#21
34.21.1
40.939.8
Auto12.3
Teleop16.4
End5.8
Third
43.12.5
43.145.6
Auto11.2
Teleop25.6
End7.2
red by 17.0
865
#14
26.11.1
32.131.0
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned64%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsMissed