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Red126
136031.2
301547.8
316132.1
Blue144
999729.3
4845.0
128534.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1391240200300400500600700126144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#20
47.80.2
51.050.9
Auto14.7
Teleop27.1
End5.9
red by 2.8
48
#2
45.00.8
54.255.1
Auto10.9
Teleop25.7
End7.5
Second
3161
#17
32.10.2
42.542.4
Auto8.3
Teleop19.6
End4.7
blue by 2.1
1285
#21
34.20.8
39.840.6
Auto12.3
Teleop16.4
End5.8
Third
1360
#16
31.20.2
34.834.6
Auto8.7
Teleop14.9
End7.7
red by 1.9
29.31.4
32.634.0
Auto10.3
Teleop12.1
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
52%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsMissed66%Activation oddsEarned