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Red10
368346.8
467863.4
57199.8
Blue0
494639.6
447646.1
316132.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160141050100150200100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.43.0
72.469.4
Auto17.2
Teleop37.3
End5.8
red by 17.4
46.13.0
51.948.9
Auto12.3
Teleop24.2
End8.2
Second
46.83.0
55.752.7
Auto9.1
Teleop30.5
End7.0
red by 7.2
4946
#24
39.63.0
45.442.4
Auto11.2
Teleop21.9
End5.1
Third
5719
#25
9.83.0
18.715.7
Auto4.9
Teleop1.3
End4.4
blue by 22.3
3161
#17
32.13.0
37.934.9
Auto8.3
Teleop19.6
End4.7